Technology, IT Performance

Twelve thrilling (or terrifying) thoughts for IT in 2012

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HP Blogger

It’s often around holiday season that I field calls asking for my perspective on what I think the trending topics and issues for the coming year will be – to be honest, even after 10+ years of doing this I still get caught by surprise at how quickly it comes around.

The early snows in northern eastern USA jolted me out of my routine and prompted me to think about what I personally see as being potential inflection points during 2012.

The result was a longer post than usual, which for no reason other than it seemed to work that way, contained what I feel are twelve IT delivery related disruptions coming up again and again, so I thought why not make it “12 IT delivery topics for ‘12”. 

Having gotten them down on paper, I realized that my “top twelve” loosely fell into three big “mega themes” on which you can expect to hear more from me over the coming year, specifically Social IT, the IT "Cambrian explosion and the need to reboot IT management.

For the sake of brevity, I’ve summarized my top 12 here which I'll follow up with a series of posts to dig a little deeper into each idea and the potential impact. 

The IT crowd - social IT

#1 IT as a team sport - IT management goes social.

#2 Death of the pager, IT management goes mobile.

#3 Breaking down the silos - agile, continuous delivery and devops.

The coming IT Cambrian explosion

#4 The browser war is over. Every player wins a prize.

#5 Giga-scale architectures for the enterprise (or "The rise and rise of Ruby and friends.")

#6  Big data, NoSQL and shared-nothing (or "DBAs go back to school.")

#7 CPU architectures cross-over. x86 in handhelds, ARM in data centers, change everywhere.

#8 IT management software, the next sprawl? 

Time to reboot IT

#9 The IT service broker goes mainstream.

#10 IT consumerization backlash.

#11 Enterprise architecture gets its mojo back.

#12 Automating governance. IT risk and compliance overhaul.

To be clear, predictions as a general rule are wrong the minute they’re made, mine doubly so! However, I have made a conscious decision to focus on what I’m seeing and hearing from practitioners versus theoreticians and I hope that they stimulate us all to think about the disruptions we might face and how we can be better prepared to respond if and when we need to. 

As always, feel free to join in with your comments and/or your own list – if nothing else it’s great food for planning thought. 

Happy holidays and a prosperous 2012.



For more on IT management you can follow me on twitter



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Paul Calento 255 Points | Tue, 12/27/2011 - 21:30

Paul, can you elaborate on the consumerization backlash? BYOD has been in high demand among execs and end-users, although enterprise IT has arguably been playing catch-up. Is lack of (IT) preparation going to drive this backlash or inherent insecurities with the model?

--Paul Calento

(note: I work on projects sponsored by and HP)

Paul Muller 119 Points | Tue, 12/27/2011 - 23:55

Hey Paul - don't disagree with your experience at all, like ou I've been talking to CIOs for over a year about this topci and it's continuing to move into the mainstream.

What I'll share in my upcoming piece is that the consumerization dog is starting to bite that hand that feeds it.

Would be great to have you join the debate - I wonder if we can get John D to setup an online, interactive discussion on the topic?!

John Dodge 1535 Points | Wed, 12/28/2011 - 13:26


What'd you have in mind for an interactive discussion? We have lots of consumerization posts.

Here's a recent one about an interesting study that says the BYOD trend is gathering steam: CIOs struggle to find BYOD comfort zone



Paul Muller 119 Points | Thu, 12/29/2011 - 01:17

How about we get one or two IT leaders, an analyst and yourself on the line to discuss the realities.

I read your post and agree there's a growing backlash, but obviously a benefit.