CIO QUESTION OF THE WEEK

Charles Bess asks:

What do you see as the driving technologies in IT for the next decade?

CIO Questions by Charles Bess,
HP Blogger
, Tue, 02/19/2013 - 15:54

COMMENTS FROM THE ECF COUNCIL:
jdobbs

Joel

Dobbs

I do not believe that it is possible to forecast, with any degree of accuracy, technology trends beyond about three years into the future.  Things simply evolve too quickly.  I believe the way to look at this is not what technologies will drive IT but how trends in business, demographics and society will impact the workplace and the use of technology in it.  Here are a few of my thoughts about things CIOs and future CIOs need to put on their long-term planning radar.
 
·      Skilled, experienced managers and executives will increasingly be in short supply.  As the large cohort of Baby Boomers retire or die off we will see fewer and less experienced managers and executives left in the workforce.  Because many Baby Boomers have chosen to work longer, many of their more junior colleagues have been denied opportunities to gain valuable experience. The net effect will be fewer seasoned executives.  This has huge implications for how complex organizations will be managed.
·      An increasingly mobile workforce. The “Human Cloud” will continue to mature, as virtual workers become the majority of workers.  “Going to the office” will likely be the exception10 years from now.  We are already well on our way.
·      IT will become a utility, like electricity or telephones. This is cloud computing taken to its logical conclusion.  “Utility” IT providers will provide IT services to homes and businesses large and small.  Few organizations will continue to run large internal IT shops.
·      Information, not technology, will be the focus of the CIO. “Big Data” and the tools and techniques associated with it continue to evolve and mature.  Ph.D. level information scientists will be in great demand and will populate the CIOs organization replacing many programmer and engineer positions.  The CIO role, if indeed the term is still used, will be very different from today.
·      The ability to protect all of this information will be a competitive advantage. Cybersecurity will be a top source of competitive advantage. 
 
I could go on and list many more but I believe the message for us all is that the CIO’s role and the role and function of their organization will undergo a dramatic metamorphosis over the next decade.  For the younger members of our profession, the message is a profound one.  Be open minded and committed to ongoing career and personal development, or risk professional extinction.

hhikichi

Hisayuki

Hikichi

Technology evolution will continue as past decade in amazing speed, even
though forecasting what will be the one to focus may difficult at this
stage.
And period. I am strongly believe that technologies which will be coming up
to us be more toward filling between human and digital world.
Gap between office workers and IT people, boundary will be minimized. Even
IT people can be concentrate more for business strategy & planning support,
instead of developing deep down technology. Technical engineer will be focus
on device technology, and other IT people will be more to business
consulting backed up by IT solutions. IT people will be expert of hybrid
solution provider.

In that sense, modular programming technology, GUI based programming, which
does not require to have knowledge of programming language. And also,
business process may be digitized from process documents, and stored into
BPM, and enhancements of application will be done automatically,
without various cumbersome steps currently required. Another aspect of new
technology will be data management revolution, collate all distributed
data to store image DWH.  Currently we have to convert, cleansing, mining
all data before creating central data base before analysis and be ready for
BI. But if all those are virtualized and combined, detail technical DBM is
not required. Virtualized data warehouse technology is the key for next step
of IT evolution.

Lastly, there will be more advanced information security defense technology
may be existed.

All current IT technology keyword, such as MDM (Mobile), MDM (Date), BI,
Analytics, Big data, virtualization, ICT, Open flow, etc. will be history.

(2) (2)

Discussion
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Stephane Lefrere
Stephane Lefrere 0 Points | Wed, 02/27/2013 - 06:13

Nod. In 2023, the "cloud" word hype will be long gone, it will be the norm. Computing, storage Infra and platforms will be commoditized and centralized in few massive datacenters, highly redundant and available, managed by very few consolidated players. 98% of apps will be running on browsers and mobile friendly. CIO's will focus almost exclusively on Business data analysis, like CMO's, and identify new opportunities. Data flows will be further integrated with Business partners customers through PaaS.

Juan
Juan Nalda 11 Points | Sat, 02/23/2013 - 15:40

I think the key driver behind any trend will be innovation and all the great opportunities those trends could unveil

I think more convergence between what the technology world is running on and what the companies can deliver and expect will exist. IT as a value for business rather than as a pure commodity which would limit to simply reduce cost and gain efficiencies

In my view several drivers will dominate the decade

-       Cloud/PaaS

-       Social Enterprise

-       Big Data/Data Analitycs

-       IT Customerization/BYOD

-       Mobility

-       A more integrated ecosystem between machines and human beings

-       M2M as a revolution within society

-       New trends in Security as a consequence of all of the rest

 

pearl
Pearl Zhu 90 Points | Wed, 02/20/2013 - 18:45

Very interesting future-driven discussion, in the next decade, information will continue to bridge (hopfully it won't break) the world, and it interweaves multidiscipline of knowlege into the new trancendent insight to help us understand business, society and Unververse. IT also makes impact on enterprise and our personal life more significantly, and our digital footprint is more critical than our physical location, your voice get amplified, we are all co-creating a masterpieces of information painting, and we are also continue to solve a giant jigsaw puzzle of Universe, and as information is doubled every two years, the world is becoming more enriched, also more complex, hopefully, IT can also help hamonize nature world and humanity. 

 

Thanks

jdodge
John Dodge 1473 Points | Wed, 02/20/2013 - 14:56

I find this discussion fascinating for isn't being said. Few are ticking lists of technologies. Rather, the overall discussion is putting technology in the context of the enterprise, the worker and such notions as agility and transformation. And security is got several mentions. The discussion about specific technologies is tabu without framing them in an overall context of the business strategy. IT really has turned a corner.

bmkatz
Brian Katz 0 Points | Wed, 02/20/2013 - 07:07

It's all about enablement. There are a lot of different and what some people may call new technologies out there but most people are looking at them for technology's sake. The technologies that succeed are those that enable people/communities/business to be more flexible and agile.

These will include mobile technologies but we aren't just talking devices, but the apps that allow them to become tools that help people solve problems more efficiently and productively.

Automation technologies that can be taken advantage by these tools to tackle jobs whatever they may be, wherever they are and whenever they are needed.

The age of the API that securely connects all these tools with the automation and the backend clouds and allows them all to talk to each other and provide the relevant data when needed.

The biggest player will be context. These pieces will all fit together with apps that are aware of your context, knowing where you are, where you're going, what you're trying to do and helping you to acheive it more efficiently and productively by anticipating your needs.

For any of these technologies to succeed they must follow the FUN principle, Focus on the User's Needs. This mindset accompanied by these technologies will see them  booming in the coming years.

jdodge
John Dodge 1473 Points | Wed, 02/20/2013 - 14:51

Great comments, Brian especially about technology the context as an enabler....

Charlie did much the same thing in this post: http://www.enterprisecioforum.com/en/blogs/cebess/communication-personalization-and-mobili

Christian
Christian Verstraete 425 Points | Wed, 02/20/2013 - 06:32

Charly,

 

In my mind three key technologies are going to make IT for the next 10 years:

  • First, automation and other "cloud" related technologies to transform our consumption of IT in the form of services
  • Second, mobility to consume those services from anywhere
  • Third, analythics to understand the zillion of data that is coming our way

Obviously, behind that, further networking and security technologies will be required to allow us to consume all that securely from anywhere.

Wh1t3Rabbit
Rafal Los 111 Points | Wed, 02/20/2013 - 05:57

Simple Charlie - customers/consumers.

Technology innovation driven from any other perspective is wasted effort. IT companies must start to look at what the customer wants, how they want it, and why they need it - and deliver on that. Whether it's for the enterprise customer, the home customer, or a mix of both... it's as easy as knowing what problems there are out in the space, and solving them...securely.

danieldrolet
Daniel PCN 0 Points | Tue, 02/19/2013 - 23:19

The "Industrial Internet" "M2M" & "Big Data".  Being able to converge these within critical automation & control infrastructure in a whole host of market sectors (energy, industrial, process, transportation, etc) & the ability to easily access, manage, and create new applications from related data networks; without impacting critical security and reliability requirements.  Essentially, supporting the "Industrial Communication Revolution" that is now starting to leverage the "Individual Communication Revolution" of the past 20 years.

Joanie Wexler
Joanie Wexler 5 Points | Tue, 02/19/2013 - 21:45

1) Virtualized and software-defined "everything" for ultimate computer and network configuration control and efficiency. Virtualization will touch everything from app and storage servers to LANs to WAN services to network specialty appliances, such as routers, switches and WAN accelerators to match VMs in the cloud. 

2) Anything that masks the complexity of mobility - making things "just work" both at the user level and policy enforcement level. That includes back-end inter-network roaming (e.g., roaming among cellular and Wi-Fi networks owned by different entities), performance management, interoperable mobile UC, virtualization of devices to partition corporate and user data....

3) Single sign on. 

gbeach
Gary Beach 13 Points | Tue, 02/19/2013 - 20:28

Data analytics, data security and availability of wireless spectrum.

Goddardd
Doug Goddard 123 Points | Tue, 02/19/2013 - 20:17

1. A multitude of presentation layer devices.

 

2. Big Data Stores that add atomicity to NoSQL.

 

3. Private, Hybrid and Public Clouds.

 

4. A proliferation of data sensors that will include financial usuage measures.

 

5. Data Storage.

 

6. New forms of Security, possibly including data object security.

 

7. A faster Internet.

 

8. Platform as a Service.

 

9. Customization as a Service.

 

10. Global Applications.

 

11. Real Time Big Data Analytics.

 

12. Automatic Data Analytics.

 

13. Business Process Automation.

 

14. Smarter Robots.

 

15. Nanotechnology.

 

16. Personal manufacturing and energy systems.

 

17. One to one marketing systems.

 

18. Global Activity Based Costing Systems will become one of the first Big Data killer applications.

 

19. Artificial Intelligence will be greatly improved by new insights into epistemology.

 

That's it for now.

blaberis
Bill Laberis 154 Points | Tue, 02/19/2013 - 20:15

Ten years seems like a long time. Think back to 2003 and ask the same question. Who would have picked cloud and mobility? Cloud, maybe. Mobility, I doubt it. It was Apple and its iPhone and iPad that kickstarted the BYOD era in large measure. Even better, find me one writer, pundid or analyst - even one - that in 1993 would have said the Internet and Web would be the most ardent driver of IT in the later 20th and into the 21st century. The first browser, Mosaic, wasn't even available until later that year.

So, I'll take big data and predictive analytics and as the easy one, and then some player to be named later that I just don't have the vison or foresight to consider.

cebess
Charles Bess 89 Points | Tue, 02/19/2013 - 20:33

I don't know if I can agree with that easy dismissal of cloud and mobility. By 2003, I had a windows mobile phone and was emailing, watching movies... while traveling the country. Even cloud was not that far off. I convinced a client to set up a private cloud in 2005 using virtualization... across their SAP instances. In 2003, grid computing was being commonly bandied about and least where I worked.

jdodge
John Dodge 1473 Points | Tue, 02/19/2013 - 21:47

Also, see Charlie's blog post on the topic: Biggest technological drivers of the last decade as well as the next decade?