I do not believe that it is possible to forecast, with any degree of accuracy, technology trends beyond about three years into the future. Things simply evolve too quickly. I believe the way to look at this is not what technologies will drive IT but how trends in business, demographics and society will impact the workplace and the use of technology in it. Here are a few of my thoughts about things CIOs and future CIOs need to put on their long-term planning radar.
· Skilled, experienced managers and executives will increasingly be in short supply. As the large cohort of Baby Boomers retire or die off we will see fewer and less experienced managers and executives left in the workforce. Because many Baby Boomers have chosen to work longer, many of their more junior colleagues have been denied opportunities to gain valuable experience. The net effect will be fewer seasoned executives. This has huge implications for how complex organizations will be managed.
· An increasingly mobile workforce. The “Human Cloud” will continue to mature, as virtual workers become the majority of workers. “Going to the office” will likely be the exception10 years from now. We are already well on our way.
· IT will become a utility, like electricity or telephones. This is cloud computing taken to its logical conclusion. “Utility” IT providers will provide IT services to homes and businesses large and small. Few organizations will continue to run large internal IT shops.
· Information, not technology, will be the focus of the CIO. “Big Data” and the tools and techniques associated with it continue to evolve and mature. Ph.D. level information scientists will be in great demand and will populate the CIOs organization replacing many programmer and engineer positions. The CIO role, if indeed the term is still used, will be very different from today.
· The ability to protect all of this information will be a competitive advantage. Cybersecurity will be a top source of competitive advantage.
I could go on and list many more but I believe the message for us all is that the CIO’s role and the role and function of their organization will undergo a dramatic metamorphosis over the next decade. For the younger members of our profession, the message is a profound one. Be open minded and committed to ongoing career and personal development, or risk professional extinction.
Technology evolution will continue as past decade in amazing speed, even
though forecasting what will be the one to focus may difficult at this
And period. I am strongly believe that technologies which will be coming up
to us be more toward filling between human and digital world.
Gap between office workers and IT people, boundary will be minimized. Even
IT people can be concentrate more for business strategy & planning support,
instead of developing deep down technology. Technical engineer will be focus
on device technology, and other IT people will be more to business
consulting backed up by IT solutions. IT people will be expert of hybrid
In that sense, modular programming technology, GUI based programming, which
does not require to have knowledge of programming language. And also,
business process may be digitized from process documents, and stored into
BPM, and enhancements of application will be done automatically,
without various cumbersome steps currently required. Another aspect of new
technology will be data management revolution, collate all distributed
data to store image DWH. Currently we have to convert, cleansing, mining
all data before creating central data base before analysis and be ready for
BI. But if all those are virtualized and combined, detail technical DBM is
not required. Virtualized data warehouse technology is the key for next step
of IT evolution.
Lastly, there will be more advanced information security defense technology
may be existed.
All current IT technology keyword, such as MDM (Mobile), MDM (Date), BI,
Analytics, Big data, virtualization, ICT, Open flow, etc. will be history.